Sunday, October 3, 2010

SUN Stock to Be Watched... Endhiran Conservative Estimate

I was wondering on how much Endhiran can make at the end of one week. Can it beat India's highest grosser movies like 3 Idiots or Gajini (Hindi).

Just did a quick math and I was shocked with the numbers that came up:
Its a conservative estimate:
2000 Theaters (across the globe) x 5 shows (avg, I know there are 45 shows a day at Mayajaal) x 200 Seats (this could be as high as 2000 in some multiplex) x 10 (Oct 1 to Oct 10, I am including 2 week ends as the craze will be high) x Rs 150 (very very conservative here) = Rs 300,00,00,000 (most conservative number that I can arrive at) - For people who are weak with Zeros its 3oo Cr in 10 days, which is the "Lowest That this movie can make in 10 days". I am sure to hear three this number from the Management in few days.

One more perpective to this is: 2000 x 5 x 200 x 10 = 2 Cr, again a conservative number. This shows the number of people watching the movie in theater. Compare this with overall Population of TamilNadu, which is 7 Cr. I know the audience that I am talking about are not just the people who are in TamilNadu now but I still thought its worth comparing.

With overseas evenues, music sales, satelite rights etc... the movie can surely cross Rs 600 Cr or more. If so I think "SUN TV" stock needs to be tracked closely. SUN will double its revenue Y-o-Y just on this movie. I think they will make for all the poor performances of their other movies with Vijay and Nakul that Sun pictures had.

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